The combination of interval forecasts in tourism
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Combination Forecasts of Tourism Demand
This study investigates the performance of combination forecasts in the context of international tourism demand. Five econometric and two time-series models are employed to generate individual forecasts. Six combination methods are then employed, and their forecasting performance evaluated, using data on UK outbound tourism demand in seven destination countries. The results suggest that combina...
متن کاملCombining Interval Forecasts
In combining forecasts, a simple average of the forecasts performs well, often better than more sophisticated methods. In a prescriptive spirit, we consider some other parsimonious, easy-to-use heuristics for combining interval forecasts and compare their performance with the benchmark provided by the simple average, using real-life data sets consisting of forecasts made by professionals in the...
متن کاملCombination of Forecasts
As the old saying goes, “Don’t put all of your eggs in one basket lest you drop the basket and lose all of your eggs.” Suppose the head of a forecasting division of a company has two sources of forecasts for the company’s sales, one source being the forecasts generated by the division’s econometrics group using an econometric time series model and the other source being the aggregated forecasts...
متن کاملthe effect of the record infancy in crimilly acts of guilties (in karaj city)
چکیده یکی از مهمترین دغدغه های بزرگ جوامع بشری، از دیر باز تا کنون که ذهن پژوهشگران و متخصصان بهداشت روانی و اجتماعی و دولتها رابه خود مشغول داشته، مسأله ی بزهکاری می باشد. شناخت کامل پدیده ی بزهکاری و بزهکار، علل وعوامل سقوط یک انسان، چگونگی درمان وی و درنهایت پیشگیری ازبزهکاری ودریک کلام سالم سازی یک جامعه، رسالت عظیم، انسانی ومقدسی می باشد که با بررسی شخصیت مجرم یعنی[ انسانی که تحت شرای...
15 صفحه اولCombination of Long Term and Short Term Forecasts, with Application to Tourism Demand Forecasting
∗Submitted to International Journal of Forecasting, December 2008. Accepted, and is expected to appear by the end of 2010.
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Annals of Tourism Research
سال: 2019
ISSN: 0160-7383
DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2019.01.010